Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020036 0.022269 0.024501 0.026893 0.029379 0.031879 0.034581
2025-02-16 0.015742 0.019275 0.022937 0.026986 0.031309 0.035761 0.040671
2025-02-23 0.012708 0.017025 0.021648 0.026890 0.032602 0.038583 0.045273
2025-03-02 0.010311 0.015126 0.020447 0.026616 0.033455 0.040713 0.048920
2025-03-09 0.008482 0.013646 0.019527 0.026484 0.034312 0.042713 0.052292
2025-03-16 0.006670 0.011984 0.018247 0.025818 0.034464 0.043841 0.054622
2025-03-23 0.005538 0.011028 0.017699 0.025905 0.035386 0.045753 0.057745
2025-03-30 0.004349 0.009860 0.016805 0.025516 0.035708 0.046946 0.060025
2025-04-06 0.003204 0.008602 0.015707 0.024816 0.035615 0.047625 0.061691
2025-04-13 0.002054 0.007131 0.014233 0.023585 0.034844 0.047491 0.062406
2025-04-20 0.001661 0.006772 0.014170 0.024047 0.036028 0.049550 0.065549
2025-04-27 0.001074 0.005946 0.013421 0.023619 0.036133 0.050352 0.067256
2025-05-04 0.000439 0.004812 0.012259 0.022755 0.035846 0.050865 0.068835
2025-05-11 0.000163 0.004260 0.011905 0.022938 0.036855 0.052924 0.072232
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.003638 0.011379 0.022863 0.037528 0.054578 0.075154
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003004 0.010752 0.022609 0.037950 0.055913 0.077689
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002492 0.010251 0.022486 0.038507 0.057384 0.080358
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001857 0.009424 0.021865 0.038407 0.058054 0.082081
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001535 0.009118 0.021946 0.039172 0.059732 0.084953
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001120 0.008528 0.021584 0.039352 0.060695 0.086978
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000698 0.007771 0.020932 0.039131 0.061157 0.088403
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000280 0.006733 0.019787 0.038232 0.060776 0.088819
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000210 0.006724 0.020216 0.039384 0.062869 0.092123